Modellers claim wars are predictable [Nature News]
[Physicist] Johnson and his colleagues argue that the pattern arises because insurgent wars lack a coherent command network and operate more as a “soup of groups”, in which cells form and disband when they sense danger, then reform in different sizes and composition. The timing of attacks, the authors say, is driven by competition between insurgent groups for media attention.
Nature 462, 911–914; 2009 via Seed Magazine
